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What's Next? Bay Area Housing Market

TAYLOR LAMBERT May 6, 2025

The past few weeks have been a doozy! One day, it seems the tariff madness is ending, then the next thing you know, it's back to square one. 145%? 20%? 0%? What the heck is going on here!!! Not only has all of this uncertainty put a constraint on the stock market and lightened all our pockets a bit, but it's poured over to the real estate market as well. If you read these updates, you know my position that the Bay Area housing market directly mirrors price and confidence in tech stocks, and all of them have taken a hit. So what's next? 
 
Usually, we tend to see abundant inventory & higher consumer demand in the first five months of the year. That wasn't the case for this year as we started out like a rocket in the first 3 months, then took a dive. Instead of the first 5 months being the selling season, this year it could be pushed back to the summer. As the stock market has been climbing its way back to nearly 15 %+, I'm seeing a wave of new home buyers entering the market. Many of them are too new and green to actually be offering on homes but they are poking around at this point.  At the Fed's meeting tomorrow, I'm not confident they'll announce any rate cuts, but going into the summer, it's highly anticipated that some sort of cut will happen. This means there's a chance we see a booming summer rather than its traditional wind-down. More consumers plus rate cuts could result in higher prices in the next few months.  It's speculation, and possibly an optimistic outlook, but I do know qualified buyers are still out there; they just have less money and are more cautious. 
 
While that's my projection, it's not forgotten that tariffs are currently on a 90-day pause, so when that 90-day clock is up, there will be another wave of uncertainty. Just depends on what the tariffs are adjusted to. Nonetheless, it's still ideal to approach with caution & take proper action on the recent stock market bounce. If you were spooked out last month, now might be your chance to resume your home search. 
 
Happy Tuesday! If you want to discuss further, let me know, and we can chat! 

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